RATP Dev has unveiled its “Mobility Trends Report: a compass for 2030”, exploring the eight megatrends shaping the future of mobility worldwide.
Developed with foresight experts from Onepoint, the report offers a global perspective, drawing insights from over 50 interviews with international experts across 10 countries. It also incorporates an in-depth analysis of existing studies and foresight reports, providing public authorities, transport operators, and industry stakeholders with the insights needed to tackle emerging challenges.
The eight megatrends analysis that will impact mobility by 2030 are:
Climate change pressure is mounting – Preparing public transport for climate extremes through greener energy and infrastructure resilience; 15% of total global GHG emissions due to the transport sector and 40% is the investment increase in clean energy since 2020;
Passengers want to feel safer – Enhancing safety with advanced technologies and ensuring public trust in transport systems; 46% of people do not feel secure on public transport while 17% is the percentage of people who no longer use public transport because they do not feel safe.
Employees expect more – Leveraging automation to improve productivity and flexibility while preparing the workforce for new roles; 27% share of jobs predicted to be exposed to automation and 2.3 average number of professional activities employees will have by 2035.
Demographics are in flux – Tailoring mobility services to serve the growing elderly population while bridging generational divides; 22% percentage of the world’s population which will be over 60 by 2050 and 14% percentage of people aged 60 and over who live with a mental disorder.
Consumers put a premium on experience – Integrating immersive technologies for a smoother passenger experience; 8.4 billion number of digital voice assistants in use worldwide in 2019-2024, 81% percentage of respondents who predict that in 2030 they will prefer to use a single app to order and pay for all mobility-related services.
Data and AI-based technologies are transforming the economy – Unlocking the value of data and AI to optimise operations and create smarter mobility solutions; 175 zettabytes is the total volume of data in the global datasphere predicted for 2025, up from 33 zettabytes in 2018. 60% percentage of executives who say they are investing in the use of new AI and IoT modes to create seamless services, offer safe travel and reduce costs for customers.
Local authorities need to do more with less – Exploring innovative and
sustainable business models to fund future mobility systems; EUR 13.6 billion aggregate value of 38 public-private partnership transactions that reached financial close in Europe in 2023 and USD 50 trillion investment in transport infrastructure needed worldwide by 2040.
Increasing traffic flows put cities under pressure – Developing intermodality and urban logistics to support more sustainable transportation and limit traffic congestion. 78% increase in demand for last-mile delivery worldwide by 2030 and USD 1 trillion is the value of shared mobility global market by 203.
The megatrends highlighted by the “Mobility Trends Report: a compass for 2030” are already put into practice by RATP Dev to drive new projects and innovations and its decision to focus on 2030 reflects the urgency of the challenges ahead and its commitment to delivering pragmatic, actionable solutions that drive real impact. “We are not looking at the distant future, we are talking of a rapidly approaching reality that demands daring, collective action – now,” Hiba Farès, the CEO of RATP Dev said. This is a call to action for decision makers and the wider industry to come together and address the complexities ahead. This report serves as a practical guide, offering mobility leaders the insights they need to navigate these challenges collectively.
Public transport is undergoing unprecedented transformations – from addressing climate change and demographic shifts to managing growing urban congestion and leveraging AI for smarter operations – all of which demand innovative and forward-thinking solutions.
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